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To my knowledge, no one has systematically studied the
ability of historians to predict the drift of events in their own times. Two
articles in this issue, however, remind this editor of his enormous capacity
for misapprehending contemporary circumstances and their direction. Eric Rauchway's
sharp essay on the present reputation of William McKinley evolved from a suggestion
by a senior member of SHGAPE that this journal should devote space to the
curious revival and reassessment of the twenty-fifth president. Enthusiastic,
I even solicited a contribution from a central figure in the revival of interest
in McKinley, presidential advisor Karl Rove, who through an aide politely
declined on the plausible grounds that last year he was too busy. For much
of last fall, I looked forward to the McKinley essay scheduled for this issue
with a mixture of anticipation and dread. I had persuaded myself: a. that
Mr. Rove would have more time on his hands to write essays; but b. that by
now McKinley would be sinking back into a misty irrelevance. Humbled once
again, I can report that Professor Rauchway's essay remains as timely as when
it was first suggested.
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